This page describes probabilities for each playoff team winning each game of its playoff series as well as the series. We also compare how we would be doing betting using this information and basing the bets on the payoffs listed in the newspaper (for theoretical purposes only, as sports gambling is not legal here in New Jersey). For more information on how all this works, and how we decide whether to recommend a bet, you can also visit my other site http://www.egrandslam.com

LAST UPDATED Monday Oct. 28, 2002:


For the 2002 Postseason we recommended 11 games so far and won 6 for a net of +475 units. (See http://www.egrandslam.com for more info).

World Series Results
Giants vs Angels


Day Home Pitcher Visiting Pitcher Prob. ANA wins Prob. SFG wins Comments
Saturday (10/19) Washburn Schmidt 48.2% 51.8% Washburn is -125 favorite. Close to bet on Giants (if better than +119). No recommendation.
Saturday 0% 100% Giants win 4-3.
Sunday(10/20) Appier Ortiz 44.4% 55.6% -125 Appier is -125 favorite. Go with Giants.
Sunday 100% 0% Angels win 11-10. We lose 100 units.
Tuesday(10/22) Hernandez Ortiz 45.3% 54.7% Hernandez is -135 favorite so no bet.
Tuesday 100% 0% Angels win.
Wednesday(10/23) Rueter Lackey 40.6% 59.4% Rueter is -130 favorite. No recommendation.
Wednesday 0% 100% Giants win.
Thursday(10/24) Schmidt Washburn 42.7% 57.3% Schmidt is -115 favorite. Close to being worth going with Giants, but not quite. No recommendation.
Thursday 0% 100% Giants win.
Saturday (10/26) Appier Ortiz 44.4% 55.6% Appier is -130 favorite, so go with Giants.
Saturday 100% 0% Giants blew 5-0 lead in 7th. We should have won. -100
Sunday(10/27) Lackey Hernandez 49.7% 50.3% Lackey is -115 favorite. No recommendation.
Sunday 100% 0% Angels win the Series

For the series, we have (with series 4-3)
Probability of Anaheim winning is 100%
Probability of Giants winning is 0%

Anaheim in 7: 100% Giants in 7: 0%

League Championship Series Results
Twins vs Angels


Day Home Pitcher Visiting Pitcher Prob. ANA wins Prob. MIN wins Comments
Tuesday (10/8) Mays Appier 55.1% 44.9% Appier is -120 favorite. No recommendation.
Tuesday 0% 100% Twins win.
Wednesday(10/9) Reed Ortiz 49.0% 51.0% Reed is -105 favorite. No recommendation.
Wednesday 100% 0% Angels Win.
Friday(10/11) Washburn Milton 59.0% 41.0% Washburn is -170 favorite. No recommendation.
Friday %100 %0
Saturday(10/12) Lackey Radke 52.0% 48.0% Lackey is -125 favorite. No recommendation.
Saturday 100% 0% Angels win.
Sunday(10/13) Appier Mays 60.7% 39.3% Appier is -155 favorite. No recommendation.
Sunday 100% 0% Angels win series.

For the series, we have (with series 4-1)
Probability of Anaheim winning is 100.0%
Probability of Twins winning is 0.0%

Anaheim in 5: 100% Twins in 5: 0.0%


Giants vs Cardinals
Day Home Pitcher Visiting Pitcher Prob. STL wins Prob. SFG wins Comments
Wednesday (10/9) Morris Rueter 47.8% 52.2% Morris is -140 favorite. Go with Giants.
Wednesday 0% 100% Giants win. We win 130 units.
Thursday(10/10) Williams Schmidt 51.7% 48.3% Williams is -105 favorite. No recommendation.
Thursday 0% 100% Giants win.
Saturday(10/12) Ortiz Finley 41.8% 58.2% Ortiz is -140 favorite so no recommendation.
Saturday 100% 0% Cards win.
Sunday(10/13) Hernandez Benes 44.2% 55.8% Hernandez is -115 favorite. No recommendation.
Sunday 0% 100% Giants win.
Monday(10/14) Rueter Morris 43.6% 56.4% Rueter is -110 favorite. Almost worth going with Giants, but not quite. No recommendation.
Monday % % Giants win series.

For the series, we have (with series 1-4)
Probability of St. Louis winning is 0%
Probability of San Francisco winning is 100%

St. Louis in 5: 0.0% San Francisco in 5: 100%

Division Series Results
Yanks vs Angel's


Day Home Pitcher Visiting Pitcher Prob. ANA wins Prob. NYY wins Comments
Tuesday (10/1) Clemens Washburn 48.4% 51.6% Clemens is a -150 we recommend Anaheim
Tuesday 0% 100% Yankees win in 8th inning comeback. We lose 100 units.
Wednesday(10/2) Pettitte Appier 37.7% 62.3% Pettitte is -175 favorite. No recommendation.
Wednesday 100% 0% Yanks win.
Friday(10/4) Ortiz Mussina 46.1% 53.9% Mussina is -130 favorite so no recommendation.
Friday 100% 0% Angels win.
Saturday(10/5) Washburn Wells 51.7% 48.3% Washburn is -105 favorite. No recommendation.
Saturday 100% 0% Angels win series.

For the series, we have (with series 3-1)
Probability of Anaheim winning is 100.0%
Probability of Yankees winning is 0.0%

Anaheim in 4: 100.0% New York Yankees in 4: 0.0%

Oakland A's vs Twins

Day Home Pitcher Visiting Pitcher Prob. MIN wins Prob. OAK wins Comments
Tuesday(10/1) Hudson Radke 37.8% 62.2% Hudson is a -200 favorite so it pays to go with the Twins.
Tuesday 100% 0% Twins win. We win +180 units.
Wednesday(10/2) Mulder Mays 33.1% 66.9% Mulder is a -240 favorite. No recommendation
Wednesday 0% 100% A's win
Friday(10/4) Reed Zito 47.1% 52.9% Zito is a -155 favorite so go with Reed (barely)
Friday 0% 100% A's win. We lose 100 units.
Saturday(10/5) Milton Hudson 50.7% 49.3% Milton is +135 underdog, go with Twins.
Saturday 100% 0% Twins win. We win 135 units.
Sunday(10/6) Mulder Radke 43.1% 56.9% Mulder is a -210 favorite so go with Twins.
100% 0% Twins win. We win 190 units.

For the series, we have (with series 3-2)
Probability of Twins winning is 100%
Probability of Oakland winning is 0%

Twins in 5: 100% Oakland in 5: 0%

Braves vs Giants

Day Home Pitcher Visiting Pitcher Prob. SFG wins Prob. ATL wins Comments
Wednesday(10/2) Glavine Ortiz 52.0% 48.0% Glavine is a -150 favorite (Ortiz +140 underdog) so we recommend Giants.
Wednesday 100% 0% Giants win. We win 140 units.
Thursday(10/3) Millwood Rueter 46.6% 53.4% Millwood is -155 favorite. Almost worth betting on Giants, but not quite. No recommendation.
Thursday 0% 100% Braves win.
Saturday(10/5) Schmidt Maddux 56.2% 43.8% Schmidt is -155 favorite. No recommendation
Saturday 0% 100% Braves win.
Sunday(10/6) Hernandez Glavine 52.8% 47.2% Glavine is -110 favortie. No recommendation.
100% 0% Giants win.
Monday(10/7) Millwood Ortiz 46.5% 53.5% Millwood is -140 favorite. No recommendation.
Monday 100% 0%

For the series, we have (with series 3-2)
Probability of Giants winning is 100%
Probability of Atlanta winning is 0%

Giants in 5: 100% Atlanta in 5: 0%

Diamondbacks vs Cards

Day Home Pitcher Visiting Pitcher Prob. STL wins Prob. ARI wins Comments
Tuesday(10/1) Johnson Morris 41.3% 58.7% Johnson is a -220 favorite so it pays to go with the Cards.
Tuesday 100% 0% Cards won big. We win +200 units.
Thursday(10/3) Schilling Finley 37.7% 62.3% Schilling is -185 favorite. Not worth betting on either team.
Thursday 100% 0% Cards win.
Saturday(10/5) Benes Batista 46.7% 53.3% Benes is -155 favorite. Go with Dbacks.
Saturday 100% 0% Cards win. We lose 100 units.

For the series, we have (with series 3-0)
Probability of Cardinals winning is 100%
Probability of Arizona winning is 0%

Cardinals in 3: 100% Arizona in 3: 0.0%