Prof. Bukiet's

World Series Probabilities

Monday October 30

As we all now know, the Cards won the World Series in 5 games.

Friday October 27

For the World Series, we have (with Cards up 3-1): It doesn't look good for the Tigers.

Wednesday October 25

(No change for Thursday)

For the World Series, we have (with Cards up 2-1):

Tuesday October 24

For the World Series, we have (with series tied up 1-1):

Sunday October 22

For the World Series, we have (with Cards up 1-0):

Saturday October 21

For the World Series, we have (now that the prospective pitchers have been revised):

Thursday October 19

League Championship and World Series Probabilities

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress

For the NLCS we have:

If Perez starts for the Mets, the probabilities are: .471 for Mets and .529 for Cards.

If Oliver starts for the Mets, the probabilities are: .687 for Mets and .313 for Cards.

If Heilman starts for Mets, the probabilities are: .696 for Mets and .304 for Cards.

For the World Series, we have (we're guessing at the starters here):

So a Mets-Tigers series looks like a toss-up, with the Mets an ever so slight favorite, while a Cards-Tigers series gives the edge to the Tigers.

Wednesday October 18

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress

For the NLCS we have:

For the World Series, we have (we're guessing at the starters here):

So a Mets-Tigers series looks like a toss-up, with the Mets an ever so slight favorite, while a Cards-Tigers series gives the edge to the Tigers.

Tuesday October 17

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress

For the NLCS we have:

For the World Series, we have (we're guessing at the starters here):

So a Mets-Tigers series looks like a toss-up, with the Mets an ever so slight favorite, while a Cards-Tigers series gives the edge to the Tigers.

League Championship Series Probabilities

Monday October 16

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress

Friday October 13

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress

Thursday October 12

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress

Wednesday October 11

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress

(Note change in pitching order for Tigers).

Monday October 9

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress.

Division Series Probabilities and Predictions

Sunday October 8

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress.

Friday October 6

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress.

Thursday October 5

We will update probabilities and expected starters as the series progress.

Wednesday October 4

We had to guess some of the pitching matchups and will update as the series progress.

Thus, we see that things don't look so good for our heroes (the Mets). Now that the pitchers are listed for the later games (according to Yahoo!) and the first game has been played in most cases, the numbers have changed quite a bit. With Maine on the mound in 2 games, the Mets chances actually increase!!!

Tuesday October 3

Division Series Probabilities and Predictions
We had to guess some of the pitching matchups and will update as the series progress.

For the various possible first round series, we have the following probabilities of winning each match-up (second team listed has home field advantage):

Thus, we see that things don't look so good for our heroes (the Mets). The Yankees and Twins look pretty much like shoo-ins to the League Championship Series.