SHINE: Exploring the Initiations of Solar Flares using Deep Learning Methods
Project Summary
Many new discoveries of phenomena of solar activity
have been made in recent years thanks to
state-of-the-art instrumentation
for both ground-based and space-borne observations.
However, due to ever increasing spatial and temporal resolutions,
researchers are facing tremendous challenges
to handle massive amounts of data in near real-time,
and to extract important information from the data
that can lead to further scientific discoveries and
forecasting of solar activities.
These tasks become more demanding
when larger telescopes are revealing finer structure
with rapid dynamics and evolution,
such as the NSF-funded 1.6 meter Goode Solar Telescope (GST)
at Big Bear Solar Observatory (BBSO).
This project addresses the Solar, Heliospheric,
and Interplanetary Environment (SHINE) goal of
understanding the initiation of solar flares
through use of deep learning methods and solar observations from the GST.
In this research project, the team will develop
and apply a suite of deep learning models and tools
to advance the understanding of the initiation of solar flares,
and provide near real-time flare forecasting.
There are five interrelated tasks.
(1) They will develop a convolutional neural network
with attention mechanisms for inverting GST Stokes profiles
to vector magnetograms with high efficiency and reduced noise.
(2) Using a Bayesian convolutional network
with uncertainty quantification,
they will trace the fibril and loop structures of
chromospheric observations to provide an assessment of magnetic fields
in the chromosphere, which is crucial in 3D magnetic field extrapolations.
(3) They will train generative adversarial networks (GANs)
using simultaneous NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO)
and GST magnetograms to create higher-resolution,
larger field-of-view data,
which are critical to derive flow fields
in flare-producing solar active regions.
(4) They will train a new GAN model,
using SDO vector magnetograms and Halpha images
to derive transverse fields from
the NASA Solar Heliospheric Observatory line-of-sight magnetograms.
Therefore, the availability of vector magnetograms
is extended to two solar cycles.
(5) They will develop a new encoder-decoder bidirectional
long short-term memory network with attention mechanisms
to carry out near real-time flare prediction and
evaluate the most critical magnetic parameters
relevant to flare initiations.
With these data and tools,
they will address the following two key science questions:
(i) With consistent high-resolution observations,
what roles do the evolution of magnetic fields
and flow fields play in storing energy and triggering solar flares?
(ii) What is the quantitative assessment of flare prediction
with the deep learning-processed data
and deep learning-based prediction tools?
Support
This material is based upon work partly supported
by the United States National Science Foundation under grant
AGS-2228996
(2022-2026).
Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed
in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily
reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.
This support is greatly appreciated.